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Looking ahead to Divisional Weekend Pt. 3



We're going to dive into the Sunday slate of Divisional Weekend and look at the statistical advantages for these two match ups. We're going to then unveil what our projection is for Rams at Eagles.


Let's goooooo!




Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles
Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles


Game 3:

Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles

Sunday, JAN-19 3:00PM ET


LAR +7 O/U 43 DET -7


PHILADELPHIA, PA - It's the weekend of cold games and this game in Phillywill be cold and potentially very snowy. This will be a fun match up to watch. A veteran coach and QB in McVay and Stafford going up against the young sensations in Hurts and Sirianni. McVay is great ball coach.


Jalen Hurts has not been throwing the ball well this season. Today should be no exception, Gthe Rams have a great young pass rush. The Eagles will likely keep the ball out of the air as much as they can due to the weather and their inability to really push the ball down field.

Philadelphia Pass O @ Home

Los Angeles R Pass D on Road

- 112.9 YPG (15th) 

- 7.1 Pass YPP (8th)

- 16 Pass TDs (11th)

- 18 Sacks allowed (14th)

- 6.6% Sack allowed Rate% (17th)

- 3.07 secs TTT (1st)

- 92 QBPs (12th)

- 30.6% QBP Rate% (9th)

- 2.84 secs TTP

- 36.0% Opp. Blitz Rate% (30th)

- 971 YACatch (20th)

- 3.4 yds separation (23th)

- 101.4 YPG (9th)

- 6.3 Pass YPP (16th)

- 12 Pass TDs Allowed (9th)

- 20 Sacks (13th)

- 6.9% Sack Rate (10th)

- 109 QBPs (13th)

- 37.7% QBP Rate (1st)

- 2.75 secs TTP (23rd)

- 2.79 secs Opp. TTT (19th)

- 0.85 secs Get-Off (20th)

- 16.6% Blitz Rate (31st)

- 997 YACatch (13th)

- 3.5 yds separation (13th)

all stats provide by NFL+ Premium's NFL PRO


This is where the Eagles will butter their bread. Barkely and Hurts should keep the ball on the ground and run clock. Barkley had 255 yards in the Week 12 win against the Rams. The Rams struggle against bruising backs so we will for sure be looking at a couple Player Props in Our Projections.

Philadelphia Rush O @ Home

Los Angeles R Rush D on Road

- 87.1 YPG (2nd)

- 4.4 Rush YPP (13th)

- 11 Rush TDs (7th)

- 38 10+ yds rushes (5th)

- 16.0% Run Stuffed% (14th)

- 2.53 RYAC/Att (29th)

- 1.89 RYBC/Att (8th)

- 46.0% Rush Inside% (15th)

- 48.7% Rush Outside% (19th)

- 51.6% Rush Opp. Light Box% (6th)

- 22.6% Rush Opp. Stacked Box% (13th)

- 61.1 YPG (17th)

- 4.5 Rush YPP Allowed (19th)

- 22 10+ Yds Rushes Allowed (11th)

- 12.1% Run Stuff Rate (30th)

- 3.13 RYAC/Att (23rd)

- 1.36 RYBC/Att (14th)

- 42.7% Opp. Rush inside (10th)

- 56.0% Opp. Rush Outside (25th)

- 40.5% Light Box (19th)

- 16.4% Stacked Box (26th)

all stats provide by NFL+ Premium's NFL PRO


Stafford is a grizzled veteran and should be able to move the ball regardless of the weather. Look for him to go to his play makers in Puka and Cooper. Kyren should get some targets out of the backfield. Check Our Projections for the numbers we like if you want to look at the Rams Pass offense. Look for Rams to potentially throw more than 40 times.

Philadelphia Pass D @ Home

Los Angeles R Pass O on Road

- 89.6 YPG (5th)

- 5.4 Pass YPP (5th)

- 9 Pass TDs allowed (6th)

- 17 Sacks (27th)

- 5.7% Sack Rate% (23rd)

- 2.74 secs Opp. TTT (6th)

- 92 QBPs (28th)

- 30.7% QBP Rate% (28th)

- 2.65 secs TTP (10th)

- 0.87 secs Get-Off (25th)

- 20.7% Blitz Rate% (26th)

- 867 YACatch (5th)

- 3.5 yds separation (17th)

- 101.6 YPG (21st)

- 6.7 Pass YPP (8th)

- 10 Pass TDs (21st)

- 12 Sacks Allowed (2nd)

- 4.7% Sack Rate Allowed (3rd)

- 83 QBPs (5th)

- 32.0% QBP Rate (10th)

- 2.61 secs Opp. TTP (23rd)

- 2.82 secs TTT (18th)

- 31.4% Opp. Blitz Rate (22nd)

- 874 YACatch (26th)

- 3.6 yds separation (9th)

all stats provide by NFL+ Premium's NFL PRO


Kyren had a decent day back in Week 12 rushing 16 times for 72 yards. While the Eagles have a stout defense all around the Rams will stay committed to the run game and we have a couple Player Props for Kyren.

Philadelphia Rush D @ Home

Los Angeles R Rush O on Road

- 57.0 YPG (12th)

- 4.3 Rush YPP (12th)

- 5 Rush TDs allowed (8th)

- 24 10+ yds rushes allowed (11th)

- 15.5% Run Stuff Rate% (20th)

- 3.05 RYAC/Att (18th)

- 1.26 RYBC/Att (14th)

- 47.8% Opp. Rush Inside% (23rd)

- 50.4% Opp. Rush Outside% (14th)

- 68.1% Light Box% (32nd)

- 7.1% Stacked Box% (2nd)

- 50.6 YPG (26th)

- 4.0 Rush YPP (25th)

- 5 Rush TDs (23rd)

- 17 10+ yds rushes (30th)

- 13.0% Run Stuffed Rate (2nd)

- 3.05 RYAC/Att (14th)

- 1.00 RYBC/Att (27th)

- 56.3% Rush Inside (4th)

- 39.5% Rush Outside (31st)

- 40.5% Opp. Light Box (15th)

- 20.0% Opp. Stacked Box (17th)

all stats provide by NFL+ Premium's NFL PRO


Our Projections:

Thanks to the weather I believe we will see a lower scoring game. Only one playoff game thus far has gone over 44. Look for this one to be under and for the Rams to cover the number of 7.


Game Picks:

Los Angeles Rams +11.5 & UNDER 44.5 Total Points +135

Correct Score: Rams 20 - Eagles 24 +15000 *odds by BetMGM


Player Props:

Jalen Hurts Rush Attempts 10+ +100

Cooper Kupp Receiving Yards o/u36.5 OVER -110

Kyren Williams Rush and Receiving Yards 75+ -270

Matthew Stafford Passing TDs 2+ +160

Matthew Stafford to complete 1st 5 Passes +620

Dallas Goeddert Receptions 4+ -115



*all odds provided by Bet365 unless otherwise noted

*all stats are courtesy of NFL+ Premium's NFL Pro ---> check it out here NFL Pro (requires subscription)





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